Orange is ahead of Trump in popular support across the country but lags behind in swing states
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| Kamala Harris and Donald Trump File Photo: AFP |
Ahead of November's US presidential election, Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris has surged ahead of rival Republican candidate Donald Trump in popularity. According to a poll conducted by Reuters and Ipsos on Thursday, Kamla is four points ahead of rival Trump. While Trump's popularity is 41 percent, Kamala's popularity is 45 percent. However, Trump is 2 points ahead of Orange in swing states.
After the current President Joe Biden withdrew from the Democratic Party in the US presidential election, there is a renewed enthusiasm among voters around Vice President Kamala Harris. The calculation of competition has also changed. Where Trump was ahead of Biden, Kamala is now outpacing Trump. Kamala confirmed the party nomination at the Democratic National Convention last week. Since then, the electoral contest has intensified.
A Reuters poll of registered voters in the United States. Earlier, Kamala Harris was ahead of Trump in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted at the end of last July. But then the difference between them was 3 points. That means Kamala has widened the gap by 1 point in the last one month. The new survey was conducted over eight days. It found support for orange increased among women and Hispanic voters.
Among women and Hispanic voters, Kamala's approval rating is 49 percent, while Trump's approval rating is 36 percent, according to the new poll. That is, Kamala's interaction with Trump is 13 percent. Earlier in July, a Reuters/Ipsos poll had Kamla ahead of Trump by 9 points among women and Hispanic voters. He has widened the gap by 4 percent in the last one month.
However, Trump is ahead in popularity among white and male voters than Kamala. The gap did not increase much between last July and August. However, Kamla has reduced this gap by 7 percent among voters with a college degree.
How much the competition for the US presidential election has changed after Biden stepped down, it emerged from the survey. Due to the bad results of the debate with Trump, Biden stepped down on July 21. Since then, Kamala has quickly gained popularity in US national polls and polls in important swing states.
National polls, including Reuters/Ipsos, provide important insights into voter opinion. However, each state's electoral vote is important in determining the winner of the US presidential election. In this case several oscillatory states become important. Earlier, the 2020 presidential election was contested in seven swing states.
These states are Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan and Nevada. Trump has a 2-point lead over Kamala Harris in these states in a poll of registered voters. Trump's popularity is 45 percent in these states and 43 percent in Orange.
Republican campaign strategist Matt Woking, who previously worked with Trump in 2020, said, 'Looking at the change in poll results, it's clear that running against Kamala Harris is more challenging for Trump, but not insurmountable.'
Matt also said that now Trump needs to focus on his election campaign as much as possible. Trump needs to see that, lest those who lean toward him because they don't like Biden fear.
Kamala Harris is touring Georgia, known as a swing state, after receiving the party's nomination last week.
73 percent of Democratic voters polled said they were motivated to vote in the November election after Harris became the candidate. In an earlier poll, only 61 percent of voters expressed enthusiasm for voting for Biden.
Aimee Allison, founder of She the People, an organization that works with women voters, said, 'In this survey, we have seen that more people are encouraged to vote than ever before. They see Kamala Harris as the future president. Republicans see this election as just about Trump. If you give people something to do other than defeat Trump, people will be more attracted to it.'
However, in terms of enthusiasm, Trump's voters are not far behind. 64 percent of voters said they were more motivated to support Trump than to oppose Harris.
Among voters, Trump is far ahead of Kamala in managing the US economy. 45 percent of voters think Trump is more qualified to handle the economy. In case of orange, this support is only 36 percent. But Harris will have more leverage than Trump on abortion policy. While Trump's support is 31 percent, Orange's is 47 percent.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted among 4,253 people, including 3,562 registered voters. Independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. was campaigning when the survey was conducted. However, on August 23, he announced his withdrawal from the election in support of Trump. In the survey, 6 percent of voters supported him.
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